Volltext-Downloads (blau) und Frontdoor-Views (grau)
  • search hit 3 of 10
Back to Result List

Assessing model predictive control for energy communities’ flexibilities

  • Renewable energy communities (REC) are legal entities defined by the European Clean Energy Package to own and share energy resources. A common goal of RECs is to have a high self-consumption. This work focuses on how self-consumption can be increased by means of intelligent control of flexibilities based on a use case featuring a community battery energy storage (CBES). Many simulation studies for the control and optimization of distributed energy resources (DER) including community storage exist, focusing on various aspects, however, often neglecting important effects for a real implementation due to simplified assumptions: (A) The control or optimization routine is run open loop. Thereby, the influence of prediction and modeling errors is ignored, so that the results obtained represent only an upper limit for the effectiveness. (B) The availability of data is not considered appropriately which might render certain control approaches unpractical. In practice, this might be a limiting factor for forecasting methods and control methods in general. Especially, as RECs are of a distributed nature and the implementation of potentially costly data acquisition and information infrastructure could limit the economic rentability significantly. We investigate a realistic use case, constructed based on the current Austrian legal definition of RECs. Here, recent smart meter data of the REC participants, as it is made available by the distribution system operator (DSO) for settlement purposes. We utilize this data for control. Our realistic simulation model consists of several residential loads, a community PV system, two private PV systems and a CBES which is controlled to boost the RECs self-consumption. The model was implemented within the MOSAIK co-simulation framework. Due to the enforced modularity of this framework, the controller is integrated into the simulation model in a closed loop manner, addressing limitation (A) of similar studies. In addition, the data exchange between the different actors, such as the grid operator and the REC operator, is modeled, which clearly addresses limitation (B). A promising method for the control problem of the described REC is model predictive control (MPC) and its solution by means of mixed integer linear programming (MILP). To control the community storage system using MPC, an accurate prediction of the residual load is required. This forecast is created using a machine learning model (LSTM model), which is pre-trained on synthetic load profiles to improve the prediction with limited data availability. Results show that MPC can handle the model and prediction uncertainties generally well. Nevertheless, the consideration of forecasting and modelling uncertainties in the simulation shows that the achievable self-consumption rates can be significantly reduced. Utilizing simplified forecasting and considering modelling uncertainty reduces the self-consumption by up to 14.5% points in the use case considered. These losses can, however, be contained by accurate prediction methods. With the consideration of modelling uncertainties for the CBES model alone, we find that a discrepancy between real storage capacity and controller model capacity of 20% reduces the self-consumption by 3.9% points. As the CBES can be considered a comparably “easy to model” component, this highlights the need for closed loop simulation in the controller development for RECs.

Download full text files

Export metadata

Statistics

frontdoor_oas
Metadaten
Author:Valentin SeilerORCiD, Lukas MoosbruggerORCiD, Gerhard HuberORCiD, Peter KepplingerORCiD
DOI:https://doi.org/10.57739/978-3-903207-89-9
ISBN:978-3-903207-89-9
Parent Title (German):Intelligente Energie- und Klimastrategien : Energie - Gebäude - Umwelt
Publication Series:Science.Research.Pannonia. 30
Publisher:Holzhausen
Place of publication:Wien
Document Type:Conference Proceeding
Language:English
Year of publication:2024
Release Date:2024/08/21
Number of pages:22
Organisationseinheit:Forschung / Forschungszentrum Energie
DDC classes:600 Technik, Medizin, angewandte Wissenschaften
Open Access?:ja
Peer review:wiss. Beitrag, peer-reviewed
Publicationlist:Huber, Gerhard
Kepplinger, Peter
Seiler, Valentin
Moosbrugger, Lukas
Licence (German):License LogoCreative Commons - CC BY - International - Attribution- Namensnennung 4.0